Thursday, 31 December 2009




New Industrial Revolution.

Contents.

Acknowlegdement.
Graphs and diagrams.

Introduction.
Short-term antidotes; systemic solutions.
Go to where the future starts.

Part I: Knowable, Unknowable, Unstoppable Futures.

Chapter 1: Futurology: The Which Craft and Science of Studying of the Future.
What is futurology?
History of the future: a divergent, interconnected fractal of the past.
6 futuring methodologies.
Skeptic's furnace: 'It'll never fly.'
From impossible to probable.

Chapter 2: The Dynamics of Accelerating Rates and Volume of Innovation.
Individual uncertainty; collective certainty.
Individuals attract; simplicity repeals.
Innovation swarm systems: the whole is faster than the parts.
Does the evolution of innovation have natural direction.
Information theory and the design-space of possibilities.
Innovation's potential: the bigger the network the greater the possibilities.
Innovation's engine: why we are experiencing more and more innovation.
Perpetual innovation.

Chapter 3: Exponential Innovation Paths: Accelerating Trends Analysis.
Probable paths of the future: the arrow of incremental technological development.
Possible paths of the future: the acausality of human society.
Meta-trends: unprecedented high-impacted systemic innovation on a global scale.
Values-trends: universal introspection driven ethics and moral codes.
Strategic-trends: huge new and rapidly growing white-spaces of opportunity.
Structural-trends: rapid growth in institutional foundation and capital stock infrastucture.
Fuctional-trends: wide-ranging and accelerating technological capabilities amplification.
Tactical-trends: high frequency global expectations and norms.

Chapter 4: Tales of the Unexpected: A Dive into Disruptive Discontinuity.
Disruptive paths of the future: game changing challenges.
The best laid plans: looking for a new straw in a stack of needles.
Phases of disruptive discontinuity.
Dynamics of disruptive discontinuity.
The innovation-cycle: breakthrough; multi-modular development; integration.
Butterflies in the storm: sensitivity to initial conditions.
Swarm effect: ordered prediction out of chaos.
Fractal futures.

Part 2. In the Midst of a New Technological Revolution: Tools to Build Tools to Build Tools.

Chapter 5: Rapid Manufacturing (RM).
Fast fabrication and synthesis technology.
3-Dimensional (3D) printing.
Additive processes.
Multiplicative processes.
Rapid manufacturing materials and structures.
Rapid design capabilities: access to extraordinary vectors of physical design space.
Rapid fabrication capabilities: new design rules and counterintuitive physical geometries.
Insight and foresight amplification: super-accelerated learning with n-functional protoptyes.

Chapter 6: MicroElectroMechanical Systems (MEMS).
Micro to meso resolution engineering.
MEMS fabrication systems and processes.
MEMS materials and structures.
MEMS manufacturing capabilities: innovation beyond the eye.
MEMS design capabilities: ultrasensitivity, speed and adaptability.
MEMS applications and adaptations.

Chapter 7: Molecular Nanomanufacturing.
Nanoscience.
Nanoengineering technology.
Nanoengineering materials and structure.
Nanosystems Generations (G).
G1 Nanoscale engineering.
G2 Simple self-assembled structural molecules and nanoproducts.
G3 Complex bottom-up molecules and nanoproducts.
G4 Counterintuitive, complex custom organic-inorganic molecules and metaproducts.
Hypermaterials: smart, lighter-than-air, ultra-strong, non-newtonian and invisible too.
Hyperproducts: a terabyte on a pinhead, polymimetic steel and Chicken Soup to boot.

Chapter 8: Bioengineered Technology: Grow it to Believe It.
A history of bioengineering.
Biological life Vs inanimate technology: the twain are now meeting.
Genomic bioinformatics.
Genomic and bioengineered materials.
It's alive: autonomous growth of the once inanimate.
Life super-sciences and bioethics: how far is to far?
Bioprocesses as fungible technologies.
Bioproducts as pets.

Chapter 9: The Stranger World of Quantum Computing.
Qunatum singularity: first here, still here.
Quantum universes and field effects.
Quantum superposition and entanglement.
Quantum superstrings: hyper-reailty in 11 interconnected dimensions.
Q-bit: on and off at the sametime.

Chapter 10: Machine Intelligence: Artificial Minds in Your Fingertips.
The evolution of intelligence.
Thought's substance: what is intelligence?
Thought morphology: how many kinds of intelligence?
Is there such a thing as Machine Intelligence?
Informatics, artificial evolution, and high level machine intelligence.
Artificial innovation: automatic synthysis of the unimagined.
Designing the once impossible: super-smart machines at work.
Serious fun with an artificial friend: super-smart machines at home.
Super-senticiant machines of the future.
Man-machine super-intelligence.
Is there a limit to man-machine intelligence?

Chapter 11: Robotics and Automation.
The robots are coming!
The strategic laws of robotics: what humans can't do, won't do, or shoudn't do, automatons will!
The functional laws of automation: whatever can be automated will be automated!
Rapidly shrinking component design, manufacture and integration.
Robots with super-sense, super-strength, super-response, super-utility.
Automation with attitude.
At home with learning-tools and super-toys.
At work with transformative tools and productive toys.
Man-machine? No! Just human 1.2.

Chapter 12: Future Internet.
n-dimensional ultra-band infrastructure.


All things to all people: wirless networked everything.

Chapter 13: Multidimensional Immersive Virtual Realities.
A history of alternate realities.
Smashing atoms to bits: physical reality Vs virtual reality.
Hyperreality: atomic resolution in real-time.
Generative algorithims: new, strange and counterintuitive geometry exploration.
Virtual thrillers: from 3D to n-D super-projectors and head-up technologies.
n-dimensional human interface, interaction, and collaboration technologies.
n-dimensional ultra-band immersive communication.
Playing with serious prototypes in ever smarter immersive realities.
A virtual home-from-home.

Part III: A New Frontier: Technological Ecology.

Chapter 13: Metamedicine, Health and Longevity.
6000 years of evolving empirical medicine.
Metamedicine: bionomic, genomic and nanomic medicine.
From top-down elixirs and probes to bottom-up metamedicine.
From top-down organ repaire/transplant to continuous bottom-up regeneration.
'It's health-span stupid.'
Metamedicine on health-span.
Avatargenomics 1: a first digital copy of yourself.
How old are you? 60 going on 35!
Metamedicine on life-span.
Avatargenomics 2: brand new digital you.
Metamedicine on population.

Chapter 14: Ecologically Transparent Technology.
Life: a river that runs up hill.
Planet earth 4000 years ago.
Two thirds of all humans that have ever lived are alive today.
Will future consumption strip earth's green capital?
CO2 emissions: the second-order myth we may have bought into.
Biostatic systems: earth's green gyrostabalsiers.
Toward supersmart ecologies.
The zoo is dieing, long live the zoo: ecologically transparent technologies.
Flowering the desert: macrohydrology and super-rain forest technologies.
Undiscovered fresh water oceans and autonomous hunter-gatherer drill-bots.
Biomimic urban spaces and living architecture.
Hyperfoods: instant, healthy and plenty of it.

Chapter 15: Ecologically Transparent Energy Supplies.
 Future energy demand by world population*consumption.
Transparent energy technologies.
Hydrogen fuelled technologies and the new O2 problem.
Oil.
Gas.
Fusion.
Thermal.
Wind.
Nuclear.
Solar.
Ecologically transparent energy output 2020-2050.

Chapter 16: Economic Evolution.
A co-evolving ecology-of-ideas.
Technological ecologies: how new ideas emerge, grow and evolve.
Price-performance productivity.
The big driver: technological performance.
Economic social-science Vs economic technological-science.
Man-hours diminish as process efficiency grows.
The new productivity of intangible ideas.
New laws of economics in an interconnected world.
New laws of economics in a world of instant production.
New laws of economics in a bioengineered world.
New laws of economics in a sencient-robot world.
New laws of economics in a virtual world.
New laws of economics in a world of virtually free goods.

Chapter 17: Discontinuous Supercommerce.
Business strategy and innovation in a discontinuous world.
Instant production commerce and the value/supply chain.
Virtual commerce and the value/supply chain.
Biocommerce and the value/supply chain.
Disruption and restructure of the value/supply chain.
Radical rethink and reconstruction of the distribution infrastructure.
Work creation, migration and jobs of the future.
Acute research, design, development cycles.
Intellectual property in positive-sum economy.
Artisan rebirth and custom mega-markets.
Dream products begin to fly for almost free.
Meta-industrial take-off and super-industrial theme parks.
At your instant home with instant production.
Retail dream parks.

Chapter 18: Poverty: An 'End' in Sight.
The birth of endemic poverty.
Poverty the numbers, poverty the ignorance.
Distribution dynamics and poverty.
Poverty, instant production, smart robotics and biotechnology.

Chapter 19: War or Peace in a Dynamically Interconnecting World.
A history of war or peace.
War or peace are not opposites.
Meta-reasons for war or peace.
War or peace in a culturally interconnecting world.
War or peace in a technologically interconnecting world.
War or peace and the rise of the super-sentient robot.
War or peace in an age of near free, abundant, instant food and tools to all.
War or peace in an age sustainable, fairer and enabling world.


Part IV. Foresight Scenaiors: 2020, 2025, 2030, 2035, 2040, 2045, 2050.

Chapter 20: Scenario Planning Methodologies Expanded.
Worst, best, opportunist, utopian case.

Appendages.

Appendix X: Job role migration in a new industrial revolution.

References.
Index.

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